John Mccain - The Caucus - Politics - New York Times Blog
Mitt Romney - The Caucus - Politics - New York Times Blog

In advance of tomorrow’s primary in Florida, two new polls there show John McCain and Mitt Romney locked in a tight race, with Rudolph W. Giuliani and Mike Huckabee vying further back for third place.

A Quinnipiac University poll shows Mr. McCain with 32 percent support among likely Republican primary voters in Florida, and Mr. Romney with 31 percent. Mr. Giuliani, who has staked his candidacy on Florida, is backed by 14 percent, and Mr. Huckabee by 13 percent.

Quinnipiac University’s last poll two weeks ago showed a four-way tie. Since then, Mr. McCain’s and Mr. Romney’s standings have grown, while Mr. Giuliani’s and Mr. Huckabee’s support has dropped.

A Suffolk University poll has similar results. It finds Mr. McCain supported by 30 percent; Mr. Romney with 27 percent; Mr. Giuliani with 13 percent; and Mr. Huckabee with 11 percent.

In both polls, many voters said they were undecided or could still change their mind.

Respondents in the Suffolk University poll were most likely to call the economy the most important issue facing the country, far outpacing terrorism, illegal immigration and the war in Iraq.

Which issues are most important to voters matters. The poll finds Mr. McCain leading among likely voters who call the economy and terrorism most important, while Mr. Romney does better among those citing immigration and Iraq.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted January 24 to 27 among 585 likely Republican primary voters in Florida and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The Suffolk University poll was conducted January 25 to 27 among 400 likely Republican primary voters in Florida and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

New York Times