McCain’s Michigan nightmare: Romney
by Henry Payne
John McCain played the spoiler in 2000, upending frontrunner George W. Bush in the February Michigan primary and momentarily casting doubt on Bush’s party coronation.
As 2008 looms, McCain is the frontrunner – and, ironically, Michigan could prove his undoing.
That’s because McCain’s chief challenger in ‘08 is likely to be Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. With pro-life, pro-military pedigrees, both will appeal to the party base so crucial to winning GOP primaries (exit Rudy G). But as much as Michigan is war hero McCain’s kind of state, it’s also friendly territory to Romney. The Michigan Republican Party has already split between these two lions, with powerbrokers like AG Cox (McCain) and House speaker Deroche (Romney) marking territory.
Here’s why the smart money is on Mitt in the mitt-shaped state:
Start with name recognition, so crucial to McCain’s success in 2000. The Romney name is gold here, as Mitt is son of popular former guv, George (that family history should also put to rest the “Will America elect a Mormon?” rhetoric: if Michigan could elect a Mormon three times in the 1960s, why not the nation?). Mitt is also charismatic. His campaign organization has been quietly seeding Michigan in recent months, and the money folks here are impressed. He has that something that can’t be taught: the ability to dominate a room the moment he enters it. Contrast that to McCain, a prickly personality whose stubborn streak often alienates.
Then there’s that governor thing. Governors from Reagan to Clinton to Bush have dominated recent presidential elections. And they have defeated top senators like Dole and McCain and Kerry along the way. Why? Because governors have a better feel for America beyond the beltway – a culture McCain has been captive to for a long time.
Romney has also succeeded in the toughest of climates. First, as a brilliant CEO in the U.S.’s demanding capital markets. Then, as a Republican governor in that bluest of states, Massachusetts.
Finally, there’s legislation. In just one term, Romney has gained a reputation as a top governor, crafting bipartisan health care reform plan (with Heritage Foundation input) that is one of the country’s most talked-about policy experiments. By contrast, McCain’s signature legislation, bipartisan campaign finance reform, has been a dud.
Like another handsome, jet-black haired GOP governor from a lefty state, Mitt Romney may ride Michigan’s famous “Reagan Democrats” all the way to the White House.
Piece of a Romney Interview On Abortion
Lopez: In a 1994 debate with Senator Kennedy, you said “I believe that abortion should be safe and legal in this country. I have since the time that my Mom took that position when she ran in 1970 as a U.S. Senate candidate. I believe that since Roe v. Wade has been the law for 20 years we should sustain and support it.” Further confusing matters, the Boston Globe reported in 1994 that “as a Mormon lay leader [you] counseled Mormon women not to have abortions except in cases of rape, incest, or where the mother’s life was at risk.” Governor: What is your position on abortion today? On Roe? How do you account for what is obviously a change — certainly publicly — on the issue?
Gov. Romney: My position has changed and I have acknowledged that. How that came about is that several years ago, in the course of the stem-cell-research debate I met with a pair of experts from Harvard. At one point the experts pointed out that embryonic-stem-cell research should not be a moral issue because the embryos were destroyed at 14 days. After the meeting I looked over at Beth Myers, my chief of staff, and we both had exactly the same reaction — it just hit us hard just how much the sanctity of life had been cheapened by virtue of the Roe v. Wade mentality. And from that point forward, I said to the people of Massachusetts, “I will continue to honor what I pledged to you, but I prefer to call myself pro-life.” The state of Massachusetts is a pro-choice state and when I campaigned for governor I said that I would not change the law on abortion. But I do believe that the one-size-fits-all, abortion-on-demand-for-all-nine-months decision in Roe v. Wade does not serve the country well and is another example of judges making the law instead of interpreting the Constitution.
What I would like to see is the Court return the issue to the people to decide. The Republican party is and should remain the pro-life party and work to change hearts and minds and create a culture of life where every child is welcomed and protected by law and the weakest among us are protected. I understand there are people of good faith on both sides of the issue. They should be able to make and advance their case in democratic forums with civility, mutual respect, and confidence that our democratic process is the best place to handle these issues.
And yes, as a private citizen I have counseled women not to have abortions.
Lopez: Does that mean you were “faking it” — as one former adviser has suggested — as a pro-choicer in your previous political campaigns? Why should anyone believe you’re really pro-life now?
Gov. Romney: I believe people will see that as governor, when I had to examine and grapple with this difficult issue, I came down on the side of life. I know in the four years I have served as governor I have learned and grown from the exposure to the thousands of good-hearted people who are working to change the culture in our country. I’m committed to promoting the culture of life. Like Ronald Reagan, and Henry Hyde, and others who became pro-life, I had this issue wrong in the past.
MI Senate’s Most Liberal and Conservative
Most Conservative Rankings (100 percent most conservative, 0 percent most liberal)
1. Cassis — 93.10%
2. Sanborn — 92.31%
3. Sen. Alan CROPSEY — 89.66%
4. Sen. Valde GARCIA — 88.00%
5. (tie) Sen. Michael GOSCHKA (R-Brant), Sen. Wayne KUIPERS (R-Holland), Sen. Tony STAMAS (R-Midland) — 86.21%
8. (tie) Sen. Jason ALLEN (R-Traverse City), Sen. Mike BISHOP (R-Rochester), Sen. Michelle McMANUS (R-Lake Leelanau) — 82.76%
11. (tie) Sen. Bruce PATTERSON (R-Canton), Sen. Cameron BROWN (R-Fawn River Twp.) — 82.14%
13. (tie) Sen. Ron JELINEK (R-Three Oaks), Sen. Laura TOY (R-Livonia) — 81.48%
15. (tie) Sen. Patty BIRKHOLZ (R-Saugatuck Twp.), Sen. Jud GILBERT (R-Algonac), Sen. Ken SIKKEMA (R-Wyoming) — 79.31%
18. (tie) Sen. Bill HARDIMAN (R-Grand Rapids), Sen. Bev HAMMERSTROM (R-Temperance) — 75.86%
20. George, Van Woerkom — 72.41%
22. Barcia — 62.07%
23. Johnson — 60.71%
24. Switalski — 51.72%
25. (tie) Sen. Michael PRUSI (D-Ishpeming), Sen. Mark SCHAUER (D-Battle Creek) — 48.28%
27. Sen. Dennis OLSHOVE (D-Warren) — 41.38%
28. Sen. Deborah CHERRY (D-Burton) — 37.93%
29. (tie) Sen. Ray BASHAM (D-Taylor), Sen. Burton LELAND (D-Detroit) — 29.63%
31. Senate Minority Leader Bob EMERSON (D-Flint) — 30.43%
32. Sen. Gretchen WHITMER (D-East Lansing) — 25.00%
33. Sen. Gilda JACOBS (D-Huntington Woods) — 17.24%
34. Sen. Buzz THOMAS (D-Detroit) — 14.81%
35. Sen. Hansen CLARKE (D-Detroit) — 10.34%
36. Sen. Irma CLARK-COLEMAN (D-Detroit) — 7.41%
37. Brater — 3.57%
38. Scott — 0.00%
McCain 2008 Team Adds Michigan Grassroots Chair
For Immediate Release
Contact: Craig Goldman
817-919-9454
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
ALEXANDRIA, VA – U.S. Senator John McCain’s presidential exploratory committee announced today that Michigan Third District GOP Chairman Dave Dishaw will serve as the state grassroots chairman, leading McCain’s team of supporters in Michigan should he decide to pursue the Republican nomination.
“John McCain is the straight-talking, authentic leader our nation needs right now,” said Dishaw. “He won the Michigan Primary in 2000 and his team will be many times stronger here in 2008.”
Dave Dishaw supported George W. Bush in the 2000 Republican Primary, serving as the statewide Michigan chairman of the Bush-Cheney ‘04 grassroots operation. He currently serves as chairman of the Third Congressional District Committee and most recently served as finance chairman of Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land’s re-election campaign.<!– D(["mb","
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McCain said, “Dave Dishaw\nis one of the very best grassroots organizers in the country and I am proud to\nhave him building our ground organization in Michigan. He is an excellent addition to the\nteam and I look forward to working with him.”
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McCain said, “Dave Dishaw is one of the very best grassroots organizers in the country and I am proud to have him building our ground organization in Michigan. He is an excellent addition to the team and I look forward to working with him.”
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